- 相关
- 目录
- 笔记
- 书签
- Preface
- Acknowledgements and Other References
- Contents
- Chapter-1
- Chapter-2
- Chapter-3
- Better Be Paranoid to Survive
- It Was Scary In Flintstone…
- …It’s Scary Now!
- What Makes a Landscape Friendly?
- Between the Rock and a Hard Place
- Proverbs Convey Cultural Risks
- Paris In the Summer When It Sizzles
- Needles Can Breach the Body’s Defences
- We Are Scared of Transgression
- We Have Not Been Hard-Wired to Cope With Modern Risks
- Unknown New Risks Surround Us
- Unknown Unknowns Are Difficult to Pinpoint
- Are We Paranoid Optimists?
- Asymmetries Induce Strong Biases
- Better Be Paranoid to Survive
- Chapter-4
- We Like Things the Way They Are
- Losses Loom Larger Than Gains
- We Are Biased Towards the Status Quo
- Suppose You Are Compelled to Play Russian Roulette
- Hands Off My Stuff!
- Coca Cola Fans Leaned for the Old Coke Classic
- A Small Town In Germany
- The Drubeck Brothers’ Story
- “Tell Me Something I Didn’t Learn In Hotel School”
- It Took 400 Years Before We Used Lemon Juice to Avoid Scurvy
- When We Anchor Our Assessment On Mere Fortune
- Did Gandhi Live More Than 140 Years?
- When Less Is More
- We Succumb Over and Over Again to Committing Ourselves
- Desperately Seeking…Confirmation
- Love Is Blind, But the Neighbours Aren’t
- We Like Things the Way They Are
- Chapter-5
- Our Detective Mind Grasps Clues and Narrates
- Cherry-Picking and Connecting the Dots
- The Barnum Effect (“We’ve Got Something for Everyone”)
- Cold Readers Can Mystify Strangers by Knowing All About Them!
- How Venusian Artists “Cold Read” Female Targets
- Heuristics and Mental Shortcuts Fill the Dots
- Mental Shortcuts Ground Optical Illusions
- “Watch the Borders” Wrote Former FBI Director Edgar J. Hoover
- Cooperative Efforts In Conversation
- What Makes a Good Alibi?
- What If?
- Monkey See, Monkey Do
- I Am Not Superstitious, That Brings Bad Luck
- Cherry-Picking and Connecting the Dots
- Our Detective Mind Grasps Clues and Narrates
- Chapter-6
- Images Call More to Mind Than Words and Numbers
- Thinking With Our Guts
- On November 16, 1532, In Cajamarca, the Conquistadores Faced Unknown Fear
- The Fast Track to Fear
- The Slow Road to Thinking, Reasoning, and Consciousness
- Fear of Flying
- What Is the Riskiest Part of a Plane Trip? Driving to the Airport!
- Insurance Feelings
- When Blackheads Matter More Than Cancer
- We Do Not See a House But a Handsome Or an Ugly house
- Chickening Out
- Our Mental States Blow Hot and Cold
- Walkin’ On Sunshine
- Customers Leave Larger Tips On Sunny Days
- Soccer Results Impact Wall Street
- The Peak-End Rule: Peak and End Experiences Matter More Than Duration
- “I Know a Brazilian Man Who…”, Or the Power of Anecdotes and Vivid Testimonies
- When Two First Ladies Prompt More Cancer Detection Than Dry Statistics
- The Availability Heuristic
- Which City Is the Biggest? San Diego Or San Antonio?
- The French Eat Snails, Not Slugs
- In the Mind’s Eye
- Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics
- Tom Is Tall Because He Is Heavy
- Adding a Small Loss Makes the Bet More Attractive!
- Distinction Bias
- The Gambler’s Fallacy (Gamblers Yearn For the Good Outcome That Will Offset All the Bad Ones)
- The Base Rate Fallacy
- Pill Scare
- Are Enemies At the Door?
- 23 People and 2 Birthdays
- When 20 Out of 100 Is Not Equal to 20 %
- Rebukes Would Boost Learning, While Praise Backfires… Really?
- Feelings and Statistics Are Poor Bedfellows
- Intuition Did Not Break the Sound Barrier
- The Minimum Time Trajectory Defies Intuition
- Thinking With Our Guts
- Images Call More to Mind Than Words and Numbers
- Chapter-7
- How to Balance Pros and Cons, and Other Helpful Hints
- Five Anecdotes On How Decisions Are Reached
- Piece-of-Cake Algebra Predicts Better Than Personal Judgment
- How “Unromantically” Did Charles Darwin Decide to Marry
- Benjamin Franklin Advocates “Moral Algebra” to Weigh Up Pros and Cons
- Paul Meehl’s Review of Evidence
- Dry Linear Models Could Usefully Complement Smart Expert Categorization
- Marks Do Better Than Interviews (Though Both Are Weak Predictors In the Absolute)
- An Aside On Assessments and Admissions
- Experts Excel In Extracting Relevant Features and Categorizing
- Overconfident Experts
- How to Balance Pros and Cons, and Other Helpful Hints
- Chapter-8
- I Frame, You’re Framed
- Why Don’t We Stop At a Green Light?
- Emphasizing Losses, Gains, and Anchors
- More On Frames and Framing
- Handling Probabilities In Communication
- Reframing an Abstract Problem In Terms of Social Interactions
- How Our Body Insinuates Itself Into Our Mind
- Embodied Language and Thinking
- What Makes a Domestic Appliance User-Friendly?
- Our Understanding Is Grounded In Body-Based Metaphors
- You’re Right to Talk to the Left Ear
- The Watchful Eye Bias: “l’oeil était dans la tombe et regardait Cain” (Victor Hugo)
- Quick Interpretations of Faces
- Herman Chernoff’s Precursors of Smileys
- I Frame, You’re Framed
- Chapter-9
- Detailed Contents
- Bibliography
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偏差的心智决策：都是进化惹的祸？the biased mind
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